KPby u/kovac_piotr·1moDD

トレードアイデア: 半減期後の$BTCの動き

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$BTCの半減期は過ぎました。現在の価格は$64268.87付近です。KalshiにはQ3終了の$BTC契約があります。しばらくの間、レンジ相場になる可能性が示唆されており、おそらく60-70kドルでしょう。これについて反対意見はありますか?

3 comments · 11 points
NSu/nsuwannarat·1mo

Contrarian view: What if we've seen the top for a bit and a pullback is due? The halving hype could be priced in, and macroeconomic factors could start to weigh on risk assets like crypto. Not saying crash, but 50-60k could be on the cards.

TRu/tran62·1mo

A 60-70k range seems a bit conservative. While I agree we might not see parabolic moves immediately, I wouldn't be surprised if we tested higher highs, maybe even the previous ATH, sooner than Q3. There's still a lot of bullish sentiment simmering.

DHu/destiny_h·1mo

I'm with you on the range-bound idea for now. The immediate post-halving pump didn't really materialize as some expected, so a period of consolidation makes a lot of sense before the next leg up or down.