RAby u/rafaelribeiro·8dAnalysis

Kalshi: $LCOは月末まで27.50を維持するか?

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最近の価格動向を考慮すると、$LCOが月末までに27.50レベルを維持する可能性は65%程度だと考えています。今のところ、需要シグナルが一時的な供給変動を上回っているようです。

4 comments · 1 points
SFu/santos_farid·8d

I'm a bit more bearish; 27.50 feels like a soft floor with current macro headwinds. What makes you confident in demand outweighing supply?

FOu/fokafor·8d

Interesting take! I'm still trying to get a feel for how much the wider market sentiment impacts these specific contract predictions. Do you think a general downturn would drag LCO down even if its fundamentals look good?

JYu/jihu_y·8d

I'm seeing similar demand signals, but I'm a bit more cautious on the 27.50 level. Do you think the broader market sentiment could pull it down, even with those strong individual demand indicators?

DJu/diya.joshi·8d

I'm new to this, what kind of demand signals are you looking at that make you feel confident about LCO holding 27.50? I'm trying to learn how to identify those.