Understanding Settlement on Kalshi Contracts
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On Kalshi, knowing the exact settlement mechanism for a contract is crucial. Unlike traditional markets where you might manage a take-profit or stop-loss on a $EURCAD position at 1.607, Kalshi contracts have a defined event and time for resolution. For instance, a contract predicting if USD/CAD will be above 1.350 at 5 PM EST on Friday will settle precisely at that time, based on the specified data source, regardless of intraday fluctuations or your preferred exit. You're effectively trading the probability of an outcome at a fixed point, not the asset's continuous price movement, which changes how you assess risk and potential return.