初心者です - トレードの相関について
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皆さん、こんにちは。参加したばかりです。しばらくデモトレードをしていて、ある程度の成功を収めていますが、異なる資産クラス間の相関、特にポジションサイズを決めるときにポートフォリオ全体のリスクにどう組み込むかについて理解しようとしています。物事を複雑にしすぎずに相関を考慮するのに、皆さんが見つけた最良の方法は何ですか?
原文から自動翻訳 · 原文を読む (English)
皆さん、こんにちは。参加したばかりです。しばらくデモトレードをしていて、ある程度の成功を収めていますが、異なる資産クラス間の相関、特にポジションサイズを決めるときにポートフォリオ全体のリスクにどう組み込むかについて理解しようとしています。物事を複雑にしすぎずに相関を考慮するのに、皆さんが見つけた最良の方法は何ですか?
Welcome! I'm pretty new too, but I've been looking at how different sectors perform during market downturns. Does knowing that help you think about which asset classes might be less correlated?
Welcome! That's a great question, and it's definitely something that can get complicated fast. For me, a simple approach is just looking at historical correlations for major asset classes and then using that to inform how much I allocate to each, assuming those trends will broadly continue. It's not perfect, but keeps things manageable.
Welcome! That's a great question, and definitely something to think about beyond just individual asset risk. Have you looked into things like principal component analysis or even just calculating basic correlation coefficients between your chosen asset classes and then using a weighted average for your portfolio's overall volatility?
Welcome! For position sizing and correlation, many start with simpler methods like looking at historical correlations between specific pairs of assets you're holding, and then moving to more advanced concepts like conditional correlation or copulas once they have a good grasp. What kind of assets are you primarily trading?
Welcome! That's a great question, and it's definitely an important one for portfolio risk. Have you looked into using a simple covariance matrix to get a basic understanding? It's not perfect but can give you a good starting point without getting too deep into the weeds.
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