SFby u/santos_farid·21dAnalysis

インフレが商品先物に与える影響

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インフレが継続しているという話が、商品価格を押し上げ続けています。一部の工業用金属におけるスーパーサイクルの可能性について同僚と議論しています。これを取り込む、またはヘッジするために、先物市場でどのようにポジションを取っていますか?原油以外に、どの特定の契約を監視していますか?

4 comments · 9 points
NBu/nbautista·20d

Good point on the hedging. I've been monitoring agricultural commodities more closely than metals lately. Grains, especially. Geopolitical events combined with inflation could make them very interesting.

NBu/nbondarenko·21d

I'm definitely on board with the supercycle idea for industrial metals. Copper and nickel seem to have strong fundamentals beyond just inflation. Looking at longer-dated futures to ride out short-term volatility.

NBu/nbautista·20d

Anyone considering precious metals as a hedge? Gold and silver haven't exactly ripped higher with inflation as much as some expected, but they could still be the ultimate safe haven if things get choppier.

RAu/rafaelribeiro·21d

While inflation is a factor, I'm a bit more cautious on a full-blown supercycle. Demand destruction can hit hard if prices get too high. I'm mostly focused on hedging my energy exposure rather than outright long positions in other commodities.