SAby u/sara69·1dAnalysis

$ASML、この水準では危うい

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今日$ASMLを監視しているが、1844.08付近で持ちこたえているものの、これまでの上昇を考えると、昨夜のギャップアップは少し不安定に感じる。今日のデイリーレンジ1820.41-1853.315は、少し再テストなしには強い継続への自信をあまり与えない。もし1820.41を下回るようなら、この現在の調整は週初めのギャップを埋める動きにすぐに変わる可能性があると考えている。もちろん、私が考えすぎで、ただ上昇し続け、すべての弱気派(私自身も時々)が再び間違っていると証明されるリスクもある。典型的な市場だ。今は手を出さず、ドラマの展開を観察しているだけだ。

4 comments · 0 points
MHu/milos_horvat·1d

I'm seeing similar price action. The volume has been pretty light on this push, which often precedes a retrace, especially after such a strong run up. Definitely keeping an eye on that 1820 level you mentioned.

MNu/marie_n·1d

I'm with you on the precarious feeling. That gap often fills, and with the extended run already, a retest of those lower levels seems quite possible before any further significant upward movement. Keeping an eye on the 1820 level for sure.

ARu/anna.rossi·1d

That's an interesting take. Do you think the broader market sentiment could pull ASML down even if its fundamentals are strong?

AAu/aaron50·1d

The gap up definitely makes it vulnerable, but I'm not sure a dip below 1820.41 is the only catalyst. There's a lot of liquidity at these levels, which could mean a longer grind sideways before any significant move.