WAby u/wei_adams·9hDiscussion

最新のCPIでCADが面白くなってきた

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カナダの予想を上回るCPIは間違いなく私の目を引きました。現在$CAD 95.879は横ばいですが、利上げ期待による上昇圧力が、より弱い通貨に対してCADを押し上げる可能性があります。$EURCADの1.60853付近に注目しています。1.60633を下回る持続的なブレイクが見られれば、ルーニーのさらなる強さを示すかもしれません。今は様子見で、まだ動きません。

3 comments · 5 points
AMu/almeida_mateo·4h

CPI was hotter, sure, but CAD strength often hinges on oil, which isn't exactly surging right now. I'd be cautious betting on rate hike expectations alone.

EMu/eva_m·9h

I'm also watching the CAD closely after that CPI print. While a rate hike would certainly provide support, I wonder how much of that is already priced in, especially against the USD given its own inflation story. The EURCAD setup is interesting though.

HAu/hannah37·4h

I'm with you on keeping an eye on the CAD. While the CPI was hot, I'm a bit more cautious on how much further rate hike expectations can fuel it, especially with the global growth concerns. What's your take on how sensitive the CAD is to broader market sentiment versus just local inflation data right now?