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ここ数日DAXを監視しているが、18,200付近のレジスタンスに到達した後、確かに少し不安定な動きを見せている。18,000という心理的レベルの上で固めようとしているように見えたが、売り手が明らかに優勢だった。もし18,000をすぐに取り戻せない場合、特に現在のマクロ経済状況を考えると、17,800付近のサポートをさらに試す可能性も否定できない。私の見立てでは、17,700を下回る動きが続けば、以前の強気構造が損なわれ、より大きな調整局面を迎える可能性がある。市場においては、重力は単なる理論ではないということを常に覚えておくべきだ。
I'd be more concerned with the volume during that pullback. If it was significant, then 17,800 is a conservative target. Low volume might suggest it's just shaking out weaker hands before another push.
Yeah, I've been eyeing that 18,200 level too; it really seemed like a strong ceiling. Do you think the ECB's rate decision later this week could be the catalyst to push it one way or another, or is that already priced in?
Ah, the DAX, always good for a bit of pre-market drama. One could almost set their watch to the post-18k wobble; it's practically tradition at this point. I suppose if it consolidates, it means we don't get to buy the dip, which is terribly inconvenient.
Yeah, it definitely felt like a strong rejection there. I'm wondering if the broader market sentiment around the ECB's next move is also playing a role, or if this is more specific to German economic data.
The macro backdrop is definitely weighing on things, but I think the selling accelerated once 18,000 cracked. We need to see a convincing bounce soon or 17,800 will likely give way too.
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