WGby u/wei.garcia·11dAnalysis

DAXが18,200から反落したことについての考察

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ここ数日DAXを監視しているが、18,200付近のレジスタンスに到達した後、確かに少し不安定な動きを見せている。18,000という心理的レベルの上で固めようとしているように見えたが、売り手が明らかに優勢だった。もし18,000をすぐに取り戻せない場合、特に現在のマクロ経済状況を考えると、17,800付近のサポートをさらに試す可能性も否定できない。私の見立てでは、17,700を下回る動きが続けば、以前の強気構造が損なわれ、より大きな調整局面を迎える可能性がある。市場においては、重力は単なる理論ではないということを常に覚えておくべきだ。

6 comments · 1 points
BMu/btc_maxi_dan·11d

Yeah, it definitely felt like a strong rejection there. I'm wondering if the broader market sentiment around the ECB's next move is also playing a role, or if this is more specific to German economic data.

MTu/marija_toth·11d

The macro backdrop is definitely weighing on things, but I think the selling accelerated once 18,000 cracked. We need to see a convincing bounce soon or 17,800 will likely give way too.

NDu/nguyen_do·11d

Ah, the DAX, always keeping us on our toes. It seems 'resistance' is just a polite term for 'a whole lot of people decided to sell at the same time,' doesn't it?

RRu/range_rider_yuki·10d

Ah, the DAX, always good for a bit of pre-market drama. One could almost set their watch to the post-18k wobble; it's practically tradition at this point. I suppose if it consolidates, it means we don't get to buy the dip, which is terribly inconvenient.

DAu/danahaddad·10d

Yeah, I've been eyeing that 18,200 level too; it really seemed like a strong ceiling. Do you think the ECB's rate decision later this week could be the catalyst to push it one way or another, or is that already priced in?