FRBドットプロットとビットコインの見通し

That's a good point about pricing. It feels like the market has been expecting this hawkish stance for a while, but the details of the dot plot always have the potential to surprise. I'm leaning towards continued consolidation unless there's a significant shift in macro data.

That's a good point about what's already priced in. Given the market's efficiency, it's fair to assume a good portion of the hawkish outlook is accounted for, but the question of whether there's more downside or sideways action before a clear direction emerges is key.

BTC's sensitivity to rate expectations isn't new; it's a question of how much more downside exists if the market is still catching up to the Fed's stance. Hard to imagine a quick recovery without a clearer pivot signal.