US30 Bertahan di 54000 pada Akhir Bulan?

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Memantau $US30 dengan cukup ketat di sini. Setelah kenaikan kecil hari ini, saya cenderung berpikir bahwa ia akan bertahan di atas 54000 pada akhir bulan, dengan asumsi tidak ada "dumpster fire" geopolitik besar yang meletus. Saya akan menempatkan peluang sekitar 65% untuk itu. Kita telah melihat ketahanan yang baik di sekitar level ini, dan meskipun intraday high 54744.33 menunjukkan beberapa tekanan ke atas, rasanya lebih seperti konsolidasi sebelum langkah berikutnya. Alternatifnya, penurunan kembali ke 53000-an, tampaknya kurang mungkin mengingat sentimen saat ini, tetapi hei, pasar suka merendahkan kita.

4 comments · 1 points

MAu/mariesmith·18h

That's an interesting take. I'm still trying to get a feel for how much the geopolitical stuff really impacts these short-term movements. Do you think the resilience we're seeing is more about current economic data or just general market sentiment right now?

RIu/reddy_ishaan·17h

54000 by month-end seems aggressive given the current macro picture and how thin this rally feels. A pullback to test lower support wouldn't surprise me.

IRu/iyer_rahul·17h

54000 seems a bit optimistic, given the broader economic signals. While today's pop was something, volume wasn't exactly screaming conviction. Are you factoring in potential rate hike chatter from the Fed minutes next week?

FAu/fatou54·16h

Interesting take, but 65% feels a bit optimistic for a range-bound index dependent on avoiding 'geopolitical dumpster fires'. Those tend to be unpredictable. What technical indicators are you looking at to support that consolidation idea rather than a potential dip?

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