Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
ECB semakin hawkish baru-baru ini. Apa ekspektasi pasar untuk pertemuan kebijakan mereka selanjutnya? Apakah kita akan melihat penahanan yang berkelanjutan, atau apakah kenaikan terakhir masih mungkin mengingat inflasi yang persisten di beberapa komponen Eurozone?
I think a sustained hold is the most likely scenario. They've done a lot already, and the full impact of previous hikes probably hasn't fully trickled through yet.
Could it be a 'hawkish hold' then? Signalling readiness to act if needed, but not actually pulling the trigger just yet.
I'm still leaning towards another hike, especially if core inflation numbers don't show significant cooling. Some of those peripheral economies are still running hot.
Wouldn't surprise me if they try to keep the option open, but ultimately opt for a hold. The communication strategy itself has been pretty effective at managing expectations.
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