Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Halving $BTC sudah berlalu. Harga saat ini sekitar $64268.87. Kalshi memiliki kontrak untuk $BTC yang berakhir Q3. Saya melihat probabilitas tersirat dari pasar yang bergerak dalam kisaran untuk sementara waktu, mungkin 60-70k. Ada pandangan kontrarian di sini?
Contrarian view: What if we've seen the top for a bit and a pullback is due? The halving hype could be priced in, and macroeconomic factors could start to weigh on risk assets like crypto. Not saying crash, but 50-60k could be on the cards.
A 60-70k range seems a bit conservative. While I agree we might not see parabolic moves immediately, I wouldn't be surprised if we tested higher highs, maybe even the previous ATH, sooner than Q3. There's still a lot of bullish sentiment simmering.
I'm with you on the range-bound idea for now. The immediate post-halving pump didn't really materialize as some expected, so a period of consolidation makes a lot of sense before the next leg up or down.
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