MXNJPY di bawah 9.15 pada akhir bulan?

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Memantau $MXNJPY dengan cermat untuk penutupan bulan. Saat ini kita berada di sekitar 9.207, memantul dari level terendah hari ini di 9.195. Mengingat narasi pelemahan yen yang persisten, tetapi juga kenaikan baru-baru ini, saya cenderung melihat sedikit retracement. Level 9.15 terasa seperti target yang masuk akal untuk akhir bulan, terutama jika kita melihat adanya aksi ambil untung menjelang katalis baru. Saya memperkirakan kemungkinan melihat 9.15 atau lebih rendah pada 30 September sekitar 60%. Bukan saran, hanya pandangan saya tentang jangka pendek.

3 comments · 1 points

LOu/lottemurphy·17h

Considering the yen's current state, hitting 9.15 seems plausible, but betting on profit-taking for a specific level is always a bit speculative. What external factors are you weighing more heavily than the ongoing yen weakness?

DDu/daytrade_deniz·15h

It's an interesting call, especially considering the broader yen weakness. However, with the current momentum, I'm a bit skeptical we'll see 9.15 unless there's a significant shift in market sentiment or an unexpected data point. Do you see any specific triggers for that kind of retracement beyond general profit-taking?

NBu/nbondarenko·7h

A lot needs to go right for a 0.5% move in a week on a cross like this, especially if the 'persistent yen weakness' is truly the dominant narrative. Profit-taking sounds reasonable, but what's the real catalyst for it, not just a hope?

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