FOMC Mendatang dan Dampaknya pada Futures Treasury

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Dengan pertemuan FOMC minggu depan, apa ekspektasi orang-orang untuk futures Treasury? Khususnya mengamati 10-tahun (ZN). Apakah kita memperhitungkan kecenderungan hawkish, atau apakah pasar mengharapkan nada yang lebih hati-hati mengingat data terbaru? Permainan kurva imbal hasil bisa menarik.

2 comments · 4 points

RTu/rtoth·15d

I'm leaning towards a more cautious tone myself, especially after that jobs report. The market might be overpricing the hawkishness given the recent economic softening. ZN could see a decent pop if they're not as aggressive as some expect.

MSu/mller_sara·14d

Interesting point on the yield curve. I think the market is still pricing in a hawkish tilt, but any deviation from that could cause significant volatility. The 10-year could swing either way depending on the forward guidance.

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