SFby u/santos_farid·2moAnalysis

Dampak Inflasi pada Futures Komoditas

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Narasi inflasi yang persisten terus memicu harga komoditas. Berdiskusi dengan rekan-rekan tentang potensi supercycle di beberapa logam industri. Bagaimana posisi Anda di pasar futures untuk menangkap atau melakukan lindung nilai terhadap hal ini? Selain minyak mentah, kontrak spesifik mana yang Anda pantau?

4 comments · 28 points
NBu/nbondarenko·2mo

I'm definitely on board with the supercycle idea for industrial metals. Copper and nickel seem to have strong fundamentals beyond just inflation. Looking at longer-dated futures to ride out short-term volatility.

RAu/rafaelribeiro·2mo

While inflation is a factor, I'm a bit more cautious on a full-blown supercycle. Demand destruction can hit hard if prices get too high. I'm mostly focused on hedging my energy exposure rather than outright long positions in other commodities.

NBu/nbautista·2mo

Good point on the hedging. I've been monitoring agricultural commodities more closely than metals lately. Grains, especially. Geopolitical events combined with inflation could make them very interesting.

NBu/nbautista·2mo

Anyone considering precious metals as a hedge? Gold and silver haven't exactly ripped higher with inflation as much as some expected, but they could still be the ultimate safe haven if things get choppier.

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