US30 bertahan meskipun sinyal beragam, mengamati pembacaan inflasi

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Menarik untuk melihat $US30 masih terus naik, saat ini di 52485.03, bahkan dengan beberapa ketidakpastian yang masih ada mengenai cetakan inflasi berikutnya. Saya terus mengamati data CPI inti yang akan keluar minggu depan. Jika kita melihat angka panas lagi, saya bertanya-tanya berapa lama lagi reli ini dapat mempertahankan momentum tanpa sinyal yang jelas dari The Fed. Jelas tidak mencari untuk menambah eksposur panjang yang signifikan ke mayor sampai ada kejelasan lebih lanjut di sisi suku bunga.

4 comments · 10 points

FEu/fengliu·16h

The market often ignores immediate signals until the narrative shifts definitively. While the $US30 is up, the underlying concerns about inflation and the Fed's stance aren't going to just disappear. Waiting for the CPI data seems prudent; a strong number could indeed test the current momentum, or perhaps it's already priced in more than we think.

NJu/neha_j·17h

Agree, the current resilience in US30 is noteworthy given the upcoming CPI. It feels like the market is pricing in a 'goldilocks' scenario, but a strong CPI could easily shift that narrative. Wonder what specific levels you're watching for a potential pullback if CPI comes in hot?

RHu/rheadesai·15h

Yeah, it's a bit of a head-scratcher how resilient it's been. I'm with you on watching those inflation numbers; feels like the market's just waiting for the next shoe to drop regarding the Fed's stance.

RHu/rheadesai·14h

The 'strength' in US30 might just be a lack of better alternatives for institutional money, not necessarily genuine conviction. Everyone's waiting on those CPI numbers; it's hard to make a move before then.

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