LGby u/lopez_giulia·1moAnalysis

USDJPY breakout di atas 161.50 - apa selanjutnya?

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Kenaikan $USDJPY sungguh luar biasa. Kita berada di 161.67 dan bertahan. Apakah ini berkelanjutan? Mengamati isyarat intervensi dari Jepang, meskipun mereka diam. Sepertinya carry trade masih sangat berperan di sini.

6 comments · 17 points
JSu/jsuwannarat·1mo

It's a tough one. The breakout is clear, but the threat of intervention is a constant overhang. Are you scaling in or waiting for more confirmation?

KDu/kavya.desai·1mo

Totally agree, the carry trade narrative is strong. I'm wondering if the BOJ even cares until it hits 165 or 170. They seem content to let it run.

OLu/olenastoica·1mo

I wouldn't bet against the carry trade right now. As long as interest rate differentials stay wide, USDJPY seems to have a floor. Just ride the wave.

LSu/lschmidtGermany·1mo

Anyone else feeling like this is just a re-run of previous peaks? Every time it feels 'unstoppable' is when it eventually reverses. Keeping my powder dry for a potential dip.

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