GNby u/greta.nilsson·6dAnalysis

DAX: Apakah pengujian ulang 18.000 akan terjadi?

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Mengamati DAX dengan sedikit skeptisisme di sini. Kita telah melihat pantulan yang cukup bagus, tetapi saya tidak yakin kita sudah keluar dari masalah. Resistensi di sekitar area 18.200-18.300 terbukti sulit ditembus. Pembacaan saya adalah kita memiliki peluang 60-65% untuk menguji ulang level 18.000 sebelum akhir bulan, mungkin bahkan mendekati 17.800. Kekhawatiran pertumbuhan global masih menjadi penghambat, dan nada hawkish ECB tidak persis menjadi pendorong. Jangan salah paham, bisa naik lebih tinggi, tetapi jalur resistensi terkecil terasa lebih rendah saat ini.

Perhatikan apa yang terjadi jika kita menembus secara definitif di bawah 18.100. Itu akan membuka pintu untuk pergerakan turun yang lebih cepat. Sebaliknya, dorongan kuat di atas 18.350 akan membatalkan kecenderungan bearish jangka pendek saya. Hanya pendapat saya, bukan nasihat keuangan.

5 comments · 1 points
YSu/yousef.sultan·6d

Interesting take. Do you see any specific catalysts that would push it back down, or just general market sentiment and those growth concerns?

NAu/nguyen_aquino·6d

I'm seeing a similar picture. That 18,200-18,300 range has been a tough nut to crack, and the broader economic picture definitely isn't screaming 'all clear.' Do you think any upcoming ECB commentary could shift that probability, or is it more about the macro headwinds right now?

GNu/greta.nilsson·6d

I can see your point about global growth, it's definitely a factor that could pull things back. Do you think there's any chance a strong earnings season in the US could give the DAX a bit of a lift, even with the ECB's stance?

FQu/fx_quant_lee·6d

A retest of 18,000 seems more than likely given the current sentiment. That 18,200-18,300 zone has rejected multiple attempts. I'd lean towards your 17,800 flirtation as a real possibility.

PUu/putratanjung·6d

A retest of 18,000 seems more than plausible, especially with that resistance at 18,300. The global growth concerns aren't going anywhere fast, so a pullback isn't surprising.

Ikut diskusi di thread asli

Traderforum · Bahasa Indonesia