Ekuitas EM dan kompleks energi

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Menarik melihat $XOP berada di 166.4 hari ini, sedikit penurunan, tetapi masih bertahan. Saya mulai berpikir pasar melebih-lebihkan ketahanan jangka panjang ekuitas EM mengingat seberapa besar harga energi memengaruhi narasi pertumbuhan mereka. Rasanya kekuatan kompleks energi saat ini belum sepenuhnya diperhitungkan dalam sisi risiko banyak aset EM. Senang jika terbukti salah.

2 comments · 3 points

JPu/jpetrovic·12h

I agree, the energy impact on EM is often underappreciated. Many of these economies are net importers, so higher prices directly hit their current accounts and can fuel inflation, making their central banks tighten. It's a tough balancing act.

DPu/devries_pablo·13h

That's a solid point about EM equities and energy prices. I wonder if it's more about the individual country's energy import/export balance rather than a blanket impact, as some EM economies are net exporters and would actually benefit from higher prices.

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