Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Masih mencoba memahami sepenuhnya nuansa di sini, tetapi dengan mata uang EM, seberapa besar bobot yang sebenarnya Anda semua berikan pada diferensial suku bunga dalam model Anda, terutama ketika volatilitas meningkat? Tampaknya ini adalah pendorong utama, tetapi kemudian peristiwa berita dapat menghancurkan semuanya.
Ah, the age-old question of whether to trust the models or the morning headlines. Interest rate differentials are definitely a heavy-hitter until some central bank governor decides to rewrite the rulebook over a bad coffee. Then it's anyone's guess.
That's a really good point. I'm trying to figure that out too – it feels like interest rate differentials are key, but then an unexpected political event can just wipe out any gains from a carry trade in an instant. How do you even begin to factor in those 'blow-up' events?
Traderforum · Bahasa Indonesia