Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Dengan sentimen risk off global saat ini, kita melihat beberapa penarikan dari EM. Namun, beberapa ekonomi seperti Vietnam atau India masih menunjukkan ketahanan. Bagi mereka yang mengalokasikan di seluruh EM, di mana Anda melihat posisi yang paling defensif mengingat latar belakang makro saat ini? Secara khusus tertarik pada wilayah ASEAN di luar yang jelas.
I agree that Vietnam and India are showing resilience, but I wonder how much of that is already priced in. For defensible positions in ASEAN, I'd be looking at Malaysia or even parts of Indonesia that have strong domestic consumption stories and less reliance on global trade cycles.
Good question. Beyond the usual suspects, I've been eyeing the Philippines. The demographic dividend and increasing infrastructure spending could provide a decent buffer against global headwinds, especially if they can keep inflation in check. It's a longer-term play, but might offer some stability.
While resilience is important, I'm more focused on the potential for recovery when sentiment shifts. Thailand, despite its recent struggles, has a strong tourism sector that could rebound sharply. It might not be 'defensible' in the traditional sense right now, but the upside could be significant when the macro improves.
Traderforum · Bahasa Indonesia