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Considerando el actual impulso bajista en las acciones latinoamericanas y la reciente ruptura por debajo del soporte de 35.50, hay un 65% de probabilidad de que $EWZ vuelva a probar el área de 34.50 para el cierre de la próxima semana, especialmente con el sentimiento general de aversión al riesgo del mercado.
65% is a pretty specific probability for something so volatile. What's your basis for that number beyond the general market sentiment? EWZ has bounced from lower before.
That's an interesting call. While the bearish momentum is clear, I wonder if the recent bounce in commodities could provide some unexpected support for LatAm equities, potentially slowing that retest.
65% chance sounds rather precise for something based on "bearish momentum" and "risk-off sentiment." Are there specific indicators backing that probability, or is it more of a gut feeling after the support break?
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