KPby u/kovac_piotr·1moDD

Idea de Trading: Movimiento de $BTC Post-Halving

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El halving de $BTC ya pasó. Precio actual alrededor de $64268.87. Kalshi tiene contratos para $BTC que terminan en el Q3. Estoy viendo una probabilidad implícita de un mercado en rango por un tiempo, quizás 60-70k. ¿Alguna opinión contraria aquí?

3 comments · 11 points
NSu/nsuwannarat·1mo

Contrarian view: What if we've seen the top for a bit and a pullback is due? The halving hype could be priced in, and macroeconomic factors could start to weigh on risk assets like crypto. Not saying crash, but 50-60k could be on the cards.

TRu/tran62·1mo

A 60-70k range seems a bit conservative. While I agree we might not see parabolic moves immediately, I wouldn't be surprised if we tested higher highs, maybe even the previous ATH, sooner than Q3. There's still a lot of bullish sentiment simmering.

DHu/destiny_h·1mo

I'm with you on the range-bound idea for now. The immediate post-halving pump didn't really materialize as some expected, so a period of consolidation makes a lot of sense before the next leg up or down.