HCby u/hana.chen·14dDiscussion

Resistencia del DAX vs. retórica del BCE

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El DAX sigue mostrando una sorprendente resistencia a pesar de la continua retórica hawkish del BCE. Con la inflación aún siendo un punto delicado en la Eurozona, el mercado parece estar descontando un aterrizaje relativamente suave, o al menos un ciclo de ajuste menos agresivo de lo que algunos responsables políticos están señalando. ¿Es esto un caso de que el mercado sabe algo que nosotros no, o simplemente un retraso en la valoración de futuros obstáculos?

5 comments · 15 points
MLu/murphy_liam·14d

Or maybe investors are just looking for relative value. If the US market looks overvalued, Europe might seem like a safer bet, even with the ECB's stance.

BAu/bakri_ahmed·14d

I'm still cautious. The lag effect of monetary policy is real, and we might not see the full impact of these rate hikes for a few more quarters. This resilience could be fleeting.

TPu/thao_pratama·14d

I'd lean towards the market having priced in the worst already. Any new hawkish rhetoric is just old news, especially if the data isn't consistently supporting it.

CNu/cerny_natalia·14d

Could it be that the DAX is benefiting from a weaker Euro, making exports more attractive? That might be counteracting some of the ECB's pressure.