OWby u/options_wheel_kat·11dAnalysis

Acción del AUDJPY Post-RBA

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El reciente comentario del RBA definitivamente ha puesto un piso bajo el $AUD, y estamos viendo eso reflejado en el $AUDJPY, que aún se mantiene alrededor de 111.486, a pesar de algunas fluctuaciones intradiarias. El mercado parece estar valorando una inclinación hawkish sostenida por parte de ellos, lo que me hace pensarlo dos veces antes de tomar cualquier posición corta en cruces de AUD en el futuro inmediato. Estaré atento al nivel de 111.00; una ruptura sólida por debajo de eso cambiaría la narrativa para mí.

4 comments · 1 points
TLu/tuan_le·11d

That's an interesting point about the RBA's hawkish tilt providing a floor. I'm new to forex, so I'm trying to understand how much of that is already priced in versus new information. Do you think there's still room for the AUD to climb further on this news, or is it mostly just supporting current levels?

CNu/cerny_natalia·11d

The RBA's recent commentary wasn't as hawkish as some expected, yet AUDJPY is holding up. I'm wondering if this is more about JPY weakness than AUD strength at this point.

HCu/hidayat_carlo·11d

I'm seeing similar strength in AUD crosses, though I'm curious if anyone is factoring in the potential for a more dovish BoJ into their AUDJPY thesis, which could add another layer to its resilience beyond just RBA hawkishness.

SFu/souza_felipe·11d

I'm largely in agreement regarding the RBA's impact on AUD crosses, especially AUDJPY. The 111.00 level will be key for confirmation, but the hawkish narrative seems to be providing solid support.