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Todavía estoy tratando de entender el riesgo efectivo por operación en configuraciones con probabilidades altamente asimétricas. Si tengo una configuración con, digamos, un 10% de posibilidades de una gran ganancia, ¿sigues manteniendo un estricto 1% del capital, o la asimetría potencial permite una apuesta ligeramente mayor?
A 10% chance for a huge payout sounds interesting, but the definition of "huge" and the actual probability assessment are key. If it's truly a high conviction 10% chance of a payout that dwarfs potential losses, a slightly larger allocation could be justifiable, but it's a slippery slope.
This is exactly what I'm grappling with too. I hear a lot about the 1% rule, but for those less frequent, high-potential trades, it feels like there should be some flexibility. Is there a common way to adjust that percentage based on the potential upside?
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